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Liverpool sit seventh in the Clinical Finishing Table

Manchester City are the most clinical team in the Premier League but Burnley aren’t far behind, according to xG Opta data.

 

Manchester City are the most clinical team in the Premier League but Burnley aren’t far behind, according to xG Opta data.

The xG model suggests City have scored six goals more than expected this season (numbers rounded), based on the quality of their chances in front of goal.

Expected goals (xG) key points

  • A shot from 8 yards has a higher xG value than a shot from 18 yards
  • A shot directly in front of goal has a higher xG value than a shot from a tight angle
  • A shot taken by the foot has a higher xG value than a header

Chelsea have netted five goals more than expected, while Manchester United are the third most clinical side with four additional four goals.

Burnley have only scored seven goals so far, but they are still the fourth most clinical team – scoring three more than expected.

 

Burnley have scored three goals more than expected, according to Opta xG data
Burnley have scored three goals more than expected, according to Opta xG data

 

 

Sean Dyche’s men beat Crystal Palace 1-0 last month – despite an xG scoreline that would have finished as a 2-0 defeat.

The Clarets completed a similar feat the following week, defying another 2-0 xG defeat with a 1-1 draw against Liverpool.

In contrast, rock bottom and goalless Crystal Palace should have scored eight goals by now – making the Eagles the least clinical team to date.

 

Crystal Palace have been the least clinical team this season and should have scored eight goals, according to Opta xG data
Crystal Palace have been the least clinical team this season and should have scored eight goals, according to Opta xG data

 

The xG model suggests winless Palace, who have lost every game this term, should have nine points on the table from victories against Swansea, Burnley and Southampton.

But Southampton have also been wasteful, scoring four fewer goals than expected, while struggling Everton have blown three.

Arsenal and Liverpool currently sit fifth and seventh in the table, respectively, and they may have improved their standings had they not recorded negative figures in front of goal.

Check out the graphic below to see how clinical your team has been this term…

Manchester City are the most clinical Premier League team this season, while Crystal Palace should have scored eight goals
Manchester City are the most clinical Premier League team this season, while Crystal Palace should have scored eight goals

 

Source: Premier League teams ranked for goalscoring efficiency, according to Opta xG data | Football News | Sky Sports

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  • lfc_kentucky
  • lfc_kentucky

    How are we doing on expected goals conceded?
    For those saying this is pointless, you kind of need to look at chances created as well, as well as think about whether this pattern will continue or not. A few games here or there can be luck and don’t necessarily mean this will continue. One can take a pessimistic view or an optimistic view on these stats.
    Personally I think most of our matches we are creating plenty of quality chances and that the goals will come. A few bad finishes are expected but we have goals in our team.
    The problem with the defending is that while we don’t often give up that many chances to the opponent the ones we do are often of the highest quality. Statsbomb website has plenty of info on that from last season for those interested.

    • Brighton Red

      ‘ For those saying this is pointless, you kind of need to look at chances created as well,’

      why ?? this article is about finishing not chances created ~ we all know LFC have created shedloads of chances ~ and we all know LFC are missing shedloads too, that’s why the article has no relevance to LFC fans.

      • lfc_kentucky

        Because those expected goals are related to chances created. As an example, Burnley is not “clinical” they have flukely scored a few more than they should have – they don’t create many chances but have potted a few. It isn’t really a clinical finishing table.
        If you don’t feel any of this is relevant that is fine, not much to discuss with you.

        • Brighton Red

          ‘ Because those expected goals are related to chances created ‘

          I don’t wish to argue but surely in that case, given that we have created so many chances and scored so few, we should be lower than 7th, just one up from Palace at the bottom I’d have thought.

  • Brighton Red

    ‘ Arsenal and Liverpool currently sit fifth and seventh in the table,
    respectively, and they may have improved their standings had they not
    recorded negative figures in front of goal. ‘

    I think that says everything ~ what a pointless article ~ Liverpool would be more clinical if they scored more goals ~ jesus ……………………………………………………………………………….

    • Stan Dinaround

      I was gonna say so what, but pointless is so much better…

      • Brighton Red

        ha ha I hadn’t thought of it like that ……………………………….

  • JJ1

    No surprise with firmino as #no9 worst lfc centre forward ever.

    • El Hadji Diouf?

      • Stan Dinaround

        Nasty.. this is a family affair old boy… disfunctional, but family….so keep the foul language to yourself

        • Apologies. I’ll go and wash my mouth out with bleach…

          • Stan Dinaround

            And I’ll bring the ice cream for afters..

          • Durty boy!

    • Tbone187

      He missed an absolute sitter against Chile yesterday. It’s getting rather concerning indeed.

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